General Review
Analyzing deep into the trend of technology,
there are always counters that caught, whispers into my heart and mind, telling
me to explore details and deeper into their business. One of the counters that
caught my attention recently is the counter Willowglen MSC Berhad. Under
the leadership of Wong Ah Chiew as the Managing Director which is also Tan Sri
Ong Leong Huat elder brother, Willowglen continues to grow under a
continuous momentum, a gem yet to be revealed.
Business Model
Willowglen MSC Berhad is engaged in the research, development
and supply of computer-based control systems. Its supervisory control and data
acquisition (SCADA) system is used in security monitoring, building management
and environmental control systems.
Financials
(Source: malaysianstock.biz) |
(Source: klse.i3investor) |
-Growth in revenue of 257% in 10 years (28m to 102m)
-Growth of profit attributable to shareholder from net loss
of -2.3 million to net gain 19.3 million
-Growth in Earning-Per Share of -0.94 cents to 7.95 cents
-Good profit margin business (18-20%)
-Net Cash Company with total D/E ratio of 0.2/0.8
-Cash Per-share of 0.17 cents
-10 Malaysian Firms That Made Forbes’ Best Under A Billion -
Forbes
(Source: www.businessinsider.my) |
Note that 90% of Willow revenue came from the sale and maintenance
of SCADA system while the remaining 10% is from the Integrated Monitoring
System (IMS). First of all what is SCADA system? SCADA is a system functioned
to perform checking on temperature levels,
water levels, oil level and other checks (eg: Taiwan explosion case, SCADA system
will be able to pre-detect the presence of pressure and leakage, and hence
signal the precaution step). And of course for Integrated Monitoring system
(IMF) (eg: remote CCTV) tend to assist them in revenue pile up. With the
current 80% of business from Singapore and namely overseas, Willow current
order book stands at RM150 million, with the upcoming RM240 million project to
tender from both local and overseas.
The Entry Point Projects (EPPs) under the Economic
Transformation Programme (ETP) are expected to have an extraordinary favour on
the company as 2014 upcoming prospect. The allocation of government’s budget
for development expenditure in year 2014 is expected to benefit the
infrastructure sector and oil and gas industry. The continuous ETP and 10th
Malaysia Plan major projects such as the LRT extensions, KVMRT, Langat 2 water treatments,
sewerage treatment and PETRONAS’ proposed Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated
Development (RAPID) complex etc will continue to provide opportunities to the
Group.
Valuation
-2013 EPS 7.95
- With the estimated minimum 10% growth of EPS for
the upcoming years, Using 10 years Discounted Earning Per-Share Method
-Intrinsic value RM1.12
NTA
-Willow is trading at a 230% premium above the NTA
-It is normal for services industries to have low
NTA, do not worry as the cash position is very strong
Technical
Willow has been looking to challenge it's resistance at 0.86, Firm
support at 0.82 and 0.795
-Short-Term
Target Price RM0.915
-Long-Term
Target Price RM1.12
LIVE Bursa Malaysia Stock Tips is MALAYSIAN shares ended higher on Thursday with the Kuala Lumpur Composite Index adding 0.93 point to close at 1,699.92.
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