General Review
The booming state of popularity in Plastic-Packaging-Industry
& Paper-Packaging-Industry had triggered some question mark in most of the
investor mind. Companies like SCGM, PPHB and BPPLAS is on an artificial bull steroid
to be on the rise. On a promising economy outlook and sentiment, Packaging
Industry will continue to gain momentum and shine, unveiling their true value.
One of the lagging counter that caught my attention on a potential upside is SLP Resources Berhad.
Business Model
SLP
Resources Berhad is a Malaysia Based investment holding
company involved in manufacturing and sale of plastic packaging and plastic
related products. The company commercialised over 1000 ranges of plastic
packaging products internationally, including Japan, Norway, United Kingdom, Australia, Denmark, Germany, Thailand
and Indonesia.
Financials
(Source: malaysianstock.biz) |
(Source: klse.i3investor.com) |
-Taking
year 2009 as the base year where company started to get back on track after the
severe decline in revenue due to the low average selling price of products. SLP
recorded a growth in revenue of 24% in 4 years (130 Million to 160 Million)
-SLP
recorded a healthy Profit attributable to shareholder of 70% in 4 years (6.6
Million to 11.2 Million)
-Steady
growth of Earning Per Share of 70% in 5 years (2.67 cents to 4.54 cents)
-Total Asset of RM117
Million, Total Liability of RM28 Million and Total Equity of RM89 Million (A
low gearing company with D/E ratio of 0.3/0.7)
China which is well favoured for their competitive price
sees to lose their competitive advantage on the high price of Polyethylene and
rising production cost. With the price of plastic packaging almost on par with
Malaysia, we will see most of Malaysian packaging company gaining market share
worldwide. On the other hand, Japan, which is one of the Malaysian largest
importer of plastic packaging product, seeks to pile up their stocks as the
country prepares to increase the consumption tax from 5% to 8% which eventually
boost Malaysia packaging industry earnings. SLP Managing Director Kelvin Khaw in his statement says that that SLP
is confident to produce 32,000 tonnes of packaging material in 2014 compared to
28,000 tonnes in 2013 which will project the estimated figure of 184 Million in
revenue and 12.7 Million in profit (if they able to maintain the profit margin
of 6.9% as FY2013) translating into 5.1 cents Earning Per share in FY2014 (more
than 10% growth)
(Japan, 25% of SLP total export) |
Valuation
-2013 EPS 4.54
- With the estimated
minimum 10% growth of EPS for the upcoming years, Using 10 years Discounted
Earning Per-Share Method
-Intrinsic value RM0.64
NTA
-SLP is trading at a 40% premium above the NTA
-SLP is trading at a 40% premium above the NTA
Technical
SLP has been looking to challenge it's
resistance at 0.555, Firm support at 0.495 and 0.475
-Short-Term Target Price RM0.55
-Long-Term Target Price RM0.64
Nice work !!
ReplyDelete